Political Bear, News, Politics

Time for Huckabee’s Exit

I understand why he would want to go on.  A lot of time, effort, other peoples money, and ego go into a campaign. I can’t even imagine the toll that a national campaign would take on a family, and on Huckabee’s fundraising- his family budget.

 But now the Potomac primary is over.  Huckabee ran a great race, and not many Presidential candidates can say that they made it this far.  However, it is now time for Huckabee to make his exit.  With the delegates that Sen. McCain picked up 2.12.08 he has effectively put any chance of Huckabee getting enough delegates to win the primary out of reach.

 Governor Huckabee is now clinging onto one last straw - one last bastion of hope. A broken convention. Not very likely, but it is still a possiblity.  To have a broken or bartered convention all of the other candidates must claim the 50% plus one threshold of  delegates.  Currently, the “all of the other candidates” ticket has 543* delegates compared to McCain’s 821* delegates. The remaining states have 790 delegates, so Huckabee and Ron Paul have to win 82% of the remain delegates to cause a broken convention.

Additionally troubling the Huckabee Quixotian charge is that the states that are still are to come are primarily proportional states, so Huckabee will actually have to garner 82% of the popular vote to pull this out.

 Get out Governor Huckabee.  Let the National campaign begin while they are still attacking each other.

*- AP estimates

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